
It's a story that just won't die.
Since it was announced that Batman would be showing up in Man of Steel 2 - and even long before that - rumors swirled that Warner Bros. would be backing up a BRINKS truck to Christian Bale's house in hopes he'll agree to appear in their superhero team-up film.
Many credible and respectable movie websites (specifically Batman-On-Film), have stated Bale rejected their offer many months ago and that he has no interest in coming back as the Dark Knight unless Christopher Nolan is the man behind the camera. Basically, he won't return because Chris Nolan said their story is finished.
Numbers have ranged anywhere from $50-60 million flat that WB is offering Bale to come back, and many might think, "Well why? The film will sell regardless if Bale is Batman." True, but here's the reality of the situation:
Let's say Bale doesn't come back - which for all intensive purposes is pretty likely to happen - how much is this Batman vs. Superman film looking to make worldwide if a guy like Josh Brolin plays the Caped Crusader? I'd be willing to bet at the minimum, $800 million. Not bad, not at all, but for a film teaming up two of the most famous superheros of all-time, that's pretty disappointing. At most - and this obviously depends on the quality of the film and how much audiences like it - I'd say a cool $1.5 billion, tops. That's a lot of cash, enough for Warner Bros. to think, "Job well done."
Here though, is where the pink elephant in the room shows his face.
Hypothetically speaking, WB offers Bale an even $100 million for this film and he just can't say no, especially when it guarantees the financial security of his family for generations to come. You might think, "That's ridiculous. Why give one guy that much money for one damn movie?"
At face value, Christian Bale returning as Batman for a team-up film with Henry Cavill's Superman, guarantees at the minimum - the minimum - a worldwide box office guesstimate of likely $1.25 billion.
Yes, that's roughly $400 million more than if Josh Brolin puts on the cape and cowl.
Oh, and you ask if the film is actually good, if not great, and is embraced by audiences?
$2 billion, if not more.
Suddenly, that $100 million check to Bale looks like chump change compared to a revenue of about 20x that.
I'm not saying Bale is coming back - because again, I don't think he is - but when you do the math, it becomes pretty damn clear why Warner Bros. is not taking NO for an answer.