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    « Movie Moan - A Tale Of Two Trailers | Main | Movie Moan - Breaking A Real American Hero's Dick Off »
    Tuesday
    Apr092013

    Movie Moan's Summer 2013 Box Office Prediction Power Hour(s)

    If you can get past the song (and it's a big 'if') then you're guaranteed to have a lot of fun with this week's three hour epic show.

    It's that time of the year again where the Movie Moan crew predict the US domestic grosses for Summer 2013's blockbuster movies before we re-unite in September to see how badly we did.  Assembling for another epic battle are the usual trifecta of Phil Gee (who gets everything wrong), Jamie Williams (who gets half of everything right), and Mr Shawn Robbins of Box Office.com (who gets the other half right).

    But raising the stakes this year is a fourth member of the predicting posse.  None other than writer and editor for Coming Soon.net Mr Edward Douglas.

    Now the important bit - Don't forget to have a pen and paper to hand as we go through the show so you can join in and make your own predictions.  This year we'll have a 'web winner' for each prediction and an overall winner for the listener who gets the most points.  The stakes have never been higher. 

    All you have to do is lay out your predictions just as you see them below in the cliff notes, with the title of the film and your prediction on its US domestic gross up to our cut off date of September 1st:

    10:25 mins - Iron Man 3
    21:30 mins - The Great Gatsby
    27:55 mins - Star Trek Into Darkness
    36:45 mins - The Hangover Part III
    45:40 mins - Fast & Furious 6
    57:20 mins - After Earth
    66:50 mins - Man Of Steel
    86:10 mins - Monsters University
    96:30 mins - World War Z
    107 mins - White House Down
    116 mins - Despicable Me 2
    125 mins - The Lone Ranger
    132:35 mins - Pacific Rim
    141:55 mins - Red 2
    146:55 mins - The Wolverine
    155:40 mins - Elysium (yes, the trailer just hit right after I finished making this video - bloody perfect timing)
    164:30 mins - Kick Ass 2

    Best of luck to you all.

    Download the audio only MP3 version right here:

    Movie Moan Summer 2013 Box Office Prediction Power Hour

    Reader Comments (24)

    The MP3 link leads to an error message.

    04-10-2013 | Unregistered CommenterTower

    Folks, the link should work if you're using Internet Explorer. It's not working on Firefox for some reason that I can't figure out.

    04-10-2013 | Registered CommenterPhil Gee

    Another great prediction show, guys. I look forward to the Man of Steel discussion and overall Superman celebration that is to come.

    Phil,
    Great comments on both Roger Ebert's passing and the legacy of Siskel & Ebert in general. I remember staying up to see the show when I was younger or sometimes catching the (I guess re-runs? New time slot? I don't really remember) on Sunday afternoons. They defined what movie critics are for me and will always be part of the world of movies to me, even in their absence.

    04-10-2013 | Unregistered CommenterKal-El Fan

    My first time predicting with you fine people!

    All amounts in millions, obviously.

    Iron Man 3 - $350
    The Great Gatsby - $64
    Star Trek Into Darkness - $300
    The Hangover Part III - $158
    Fast & Furious 6 - $237
    After Earth - $98
    Man Of Steel - $295
    Monsters University - $246
    World War Z - $92
    White House Down - $139
    Despicable Me 2 - $283
    The Lone Ranger - $111
    Pacific Rim - $165
    Red 2 - $74
    The Wolverine - $147
    Elysium - $81
    Kick Ass 2 - $40

    04-10-2013 | Unregistered CommenterBrett Blake

    I'm in!

    Iron Man 3 --- $325 m

    Gatsby -- $55 m

    Star Trek -- $270 m

    Hangover 3 -- $175 m

    Fast & Furious 6 -- $220 m

    After Earth -- $135 m

    Man of Steel -- $265 m

    Monsters U -- $250 m

    World War Z -- $135 m

    White House Down -- $150 m

    Despicable Me 2 -- $280 m

    The Lone Ranger -- $120 m

    Pacific Rim -- $95 m

    RED 2 -- $75 m

    The Wolverine -- $165 m

    Elysium -- $90 m

    Kick Ass 2 -- $38 m

    04-10-2013 | Unregistered CommenterRatty604

    Iron Man 3 --- $360 m

    Gatsby -- $ 70m

    Star Trek -- $275 m

    Hangover 3 -- $200 m

    Fast & Furious 6 -- $250 m

    After Earth -- $150 m

    Man of Steel -- $255 m

    Monsters U -- $290 m

    World War Z -- $80 m

    White House Down -- $125 m

    Despicable Me 2 -- $370 m

    The Lone Ranger -- $110 m

    Pacific Rim -- $140 m

    RED 2 -- $100 m

    The Wolverine -- $150 m

    Elysium -- $120 m

    Kick Ass 2 -- $45 m

    04-11-2013 | Unregistered CommenterTower

    Here We Go!

    Iron Man 3: $390 million
    The Great Gatsby: $65 million
    Star Trek Into Darkness: $325 million
    The Hangover Part 3: $190 million
    Fast & Furious 6: $245 million
    After Earth: $145 million
    Man of Steel: $195 million
    Monsters University: $205 million
    World War Z: $100 million
    White House Down: $155 million
    Despicable Me 2: $320 million
    The Lone Ranger: $130 million
    Pacific Rim: $175 million
    Red 2: $70 million
    The Wolverine: $145 million
    Elysium: $80 million
    Kick Ass 2: $35 million

    04-11-2013 | Unregistered CommenterA2THEH

    HAHAHA Phil. The opening song is a riot.

    04-12-2013 | Registered CommenterPeter Georgiou

    In all due respect to the Movie Moan gang and the viewers but you guys are over predicting Man of Steel. What did people think of the last Superman movie? Which was Superman Returns. People hated it. So makes you guys think it will be a big hit? It's also an origin story which will hurt it. Especially after 10 years of Smallville. It could be a very good movie but I don't think that will make a huge difference. Just my thoughts.

    04-12-2013 | Unregistered CommenterA2THEH

    I would include my extensive notes I took the first time I listened to this (last night! at midnight!) but I don't have time and neither do you, so:

    Iron Man: (I agree with Jamie that there will be no post-Avengers bump, Avengers was an anomaly because all the superheroes were together in that movie whereas this will only appeal to IM fans) - $330 million

    Great Gatsby: (loved the book in high school and I wonder if it could pull a Life of Pi if it's a good movie): $70 million

    Star Trek Into Darkness (no idea, don't really care, didn't like the first movie and JJ Abrams is an overrated douchehack): $245 million

    The Hangover: $140 million

    Fast and Furious 6: $180 million

    After Earth: (Will Smith is still the only real legitimate box office draw in Hollywood now because, well, he also brings in the urban audiences) $170 million

    Man of Steel: (no idea whatsover) $250 million

    Monsters U: (no real idea again, I did love the first movie but it's been so long since it came out, OTOH the latest trailer is great) $270 million

    World War Z: (terrible trailer) $70 million

    White House Down: (no idea, don't care) $150 million

    Despicable Me: (I lied, I will include my full notes but just for this movie only, first off, Phil, PLEASE SEE THE FIRST MOVIE. And also Rise of the Guardians which was a good movie and maligned wrongfully. See them both. Anyhoo, my parents who normally avoid animated movies loved the first movie which to me is the real acid test of when an animated movie works. And this is the ONLY movie this summer I will definitely see in theaters other than Wolverine, unlike everything else I'll catch on dvd or never watch) $350 million

    The Lone Ranger: (I hate to say it but I don't think it looks as bad as you all, I do think it'll do okay and not bomb outright) $110 million

    Pacific Rim: (no idea but I can see the Transformers fans rushing out to see it) $230 million

    Red 2: (I guess I'm the only person who loved the first movie and hated Avengers...kill me after I'm done predicting, okay?) $140 million

    The Wolverine: (to me this looks spades better than the horrible abortion that was the first Wolverine movie, I'm definitely down for this one) $210 million

    Elysium: (I'm too lazy to look up the trailer, what is this even about because I fell asleep during your talk about it last night, it was past 2 a.m. at that point) $160 million

    Kick Ass 2: (er, I didn't see the first movie but I think this looks kind of fun though I still won't see it) $75 million

    Before I sign off, Phil, what is the song that you were singing to in the opening? The real song I mean, the song that you used the music from? Or did you make up that music because it's really nice. And we know you can sing better than that!

    04-13-2013 | Unregistered Commentershelly

    Sorry for spamming but I'd like to change my Despicable Me 2 prediction to $300 million and my Lone Ranger prediction to $85 million.

    04-13-2013 | Unregistered Commentershelly

    This is truly off the top of my head. I haven't even finished listening to the show yet, let alone had time to do research; nevertheless, I didn't want to miss out on participating in this contest like I did last time. Thanks.

    Iron Man 3 - $325 million
    The Great Gatsby - $65 million
    Star Trek Into Darkness - $275 million
    The Hangover Part III - $225 million
    Fast & Furious 6 - $250 million
    After Earth - $115 million
    Man Of Steel - $305 million
    Monsters University - $185 million
    World War Z - $85 million
    White House Down - $170 million
    Despicable Me 2 - $255 million
    The Lone Ranger - $110 million
    Pacific Rim - $170 million
    Red 2 - $85 million
    The Wolverine - $105 million
    Elysium - $90 million
    Kick Ass 2 - $50 million

    04-14-2013 | Unregistered CommenterThe Zodfather

    @Shelly

    The song is 'Against The Ninja' by the band Dragon Sound, from the soundtrack to the film 'Miami Connection'. I was lucky enough to get the soundtrack which comes with a kareoke version which I could attempt to sing falsetto to.

    04-15-2013 | Registered CommenterPhil Gee

    Thanks, Phil!

    By the way, did you ever get around to seeing How To Train Your Dragon? I remember you mentioning that was another movie you never got around to seeing.

    04-16-2013 | Unregistered Commentershelly

    Awesome Podcast

    Iron Man 3 - $385m
    The Great Gatsby - $85m
    Star Trek Into Darkness - $315m
    The Hangover Part III - $180m
    Fast & Furious 6 - $250m
    After Earth - $120m
    Man Of Steel - $270m
    Monsters University - $250m
    World War Z - $70m
    White House Down - $120m
    Despicable Me 2 - $260m
    The Lone Ranger - $100m
    Pacific Rim - $155m
    Red 2 - $70m
    The Wolverine - $160m
    Elysium - $120m
    Kick Ass 2 - $40m

    04-16-2013 | Unregistered CommenterPhillip

    Alright then.

    Iron Man 3 - $375M
    The Great Gatsby - $75M
    Star Trek Into Darkness - $310M
    The Hangover Part III - $185M
    Fast & Furious 6 - $235M
    After Earth - $130M
    Man Of Steel - $295M
    Monsters University - $225M
    World War Z - $70M
    White House Down - $140M
    Despicable Me 2 - $305M
    The Lone Ranger - $110M
    Pacific Rim - $195M
    Red 2 - $60M
    The Wolverine - $150M
    Elysium - $155M
    Kick Ass 2 - $45M

    04-16-2013 | Unregistered CommenterTheMati

    @Shelly

    Yes I did get around to seeing that (Kristina insisted). I thought it was delightful. It had a grand scope coupled with a really credible, intimate story about a dysfunctional relationship between a father and son.

    I was also really surprised with the way they portrayed Toothless. A lesser film would have put him in the mould of a cute dog with a big shit eating grin on his face right from the start. But Toothless had a real ambiguity when you first meet him. He's dangerous, he's angry, he may just kill Hiccup. He's a real character that you have to take time to understand.

    04-17-2013 | Registered CommenterPhil Gee

    Thank you to everyone for taking the time to watch a three hour show (I know Blip can be a pain to load) and make your predictions.

    Some of you may want to revise your numbers on 'Man Of Steel' after that new trailer but we'll see how it goes.

    04-17-2013 | Registered CommenterPhil Gee

    I'm glad you enjoyed it, Phil, it was a great movie. Now I'm insisting that you see Despicable Me and also Rise of the Guardians. Enough of this "the CGI looks bad" nonsense, it was a very good and enjoyable movie and I insist you all see it before you say another bad word about it! End of rant. :)

    04-18-2013 | Unregistered Commentershelly

    @Phil

    The moment I finished watching the new MAN OF STEEL trailer for the first time, I thought to myself, "This could absolutely take the summer." My prediction of 295m is looking unbelievably low-ball, but I'll stick with it; you guys on the show don't get to change your minds, so I won't either. I can live with being wrong as long as the movie is as terrific as the trailer makes it look!

    04-18-2013 | Unregistered CommenterBrett Blake

    Were that trailer released before the record, yes my prediction would have been higher. Albeit still reserved. More like $325M instead of $300M.

    04-18-2013 | Unregistered CommenterJamie.

    Finally got a chance to listen to this, figured I'd listen before adding my numbers.

    First my Rhetoric
    -IM3 - Avengers helped but fatigue still exists, and unlike in the past, the following summer films aren't gonna bomb.
    -AE - Any other lead and this would struggle to make 60, with Will, who knows.This is the Green Lantern of the summer.
    -ManOfSteel - Just like with avengers, everyone is going to feel stupid for not seeing this coming. Word of mouth is a mysterious thing, and nolan films love it.
    -WWZ - The movie all critics will pick on, even over M. Night.
    -WhiteHouse - If this came out a year and a half ago, we'd all see it for the spoof it is. But the internet and the world has changed their mind on these two leads for some strange reason.
    -LoneRanger - People didn't like pirates either till Depp/Gore/Bruck made them. This looks like pirates, right down to the cursed faced bad guys, the handsome hero and the two left feet depp. The critical difference is that Depp isn't playing odd cool but rather odd silly. Just imagine this film was released in 2005. Many would have said the same if not worse about pirates.
    -PacificRim - All Robot movies not made by Bay, are destined to under perform. If only this was Abrams.
    -Wolverine - Good release date, coming off of a strong Xmen film and good word of mouth and this film will out do Origins.
    -Elysium - Original concept films will only make money once you pull a nolan/whedon and become a star off of a big property(should look into halo).
    -Kick Ass - Kind of unfair to cut it's tally short. Also Fox is selling it wrong yet again.

    IM3 - 340
    Gatsby - 72
    Trek - 275
    Hangover - 185
    Fast6 - 260
    AE - 130
    ManOfSteel - 360
    Monsters - 255
    WWZ - 80
    WhiteHouse - 150
    Dispicable - 290
    Lone - 220
    Pacific - 178
    Red - 110
    Wolverine - 170
    Elysium - 165
    Kick Ass - 56

    My big prediction is that that the Superman film will out do the Ironman film and that will be the big discussion this year.

    04-21-2013 | Unregistered CommenterJo

    Don't know if I'm too late but I'll predict anyway.

    Iron Man 3-375mil
    The Great Gatsby-65mil
    Star Trek 2-325mil
    The Hangover 3-160mil
    Fast and Furious 6-215mil
    After Earth-150mil
    Man of Steel-260mil
    Monsters University-240mil
    World War Z-105mil
    White House Down-145mil
    Despicable Me 2 270mil
    Lone Ranger-110mil
    Pacific Rim-135mil
    Red 2-77mil
    Wolverine 2-146mil
    Elysium-85mil
    KickAss 2-36mil

    04-27-2013 | Unregistered CommenterI SEE SPIDEY/Zak

    Iron Man 3 - $380M
    The Great Gatsby - $85M
    Star Trek Into Darkness - $265M
    The Hangover Part III - $180M
    Fast & Furious 6 - $225M
    After Earth - $140M
    Man Of Steel - $280M
    Monsters University - $260M
    World War Z - $80M
    White House Down - $140M
    Despicable Me 2 - $300M
    The Lone Ranger - $100M
    Pacific Rim - $145M
    Red 2 - $90M
    The Wolverine - $155M
    Elysium - $95M
    Kick Ass 2 - $40M

    05-1-2013 | Unregistered Commentermomo_tun

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